Clinical trials assessing the efficacy of IL-6 antagonists in patients hospitalized for COVID-19 have variously reported benefit, no effect, and harm.
To estimate the association between administration of IL-6 antagonists compared with usual care or placebo and 28-day all-cause mortality and other outcomes.
Trials were identified through systematic searches of electronic databases between October 2020 and January 2021. Searches were not restricted by trial status or language. Additional trials were identified through contact with experts.
Eligible trials randomly assigned patients hospitalized for COVID-19 to a group in whom IL-6 antagonists were administered and to a group in whom neither IL-6 antagonists nor any other immunomodulators except corticosteroids were administered. Among 72 potentially eligible trials, 27 (37.5%) met study selection criteria.
In this prospective meta-analysis, risk of bias was assessed using the Cochrane Risk of Bias Assessment Tool. Inconsistency among trial results was assessed using the I2 statistic. The primary analysis was an inverse variance-weighted fixed-effects meta-analysis of odds ratios (ORs) for 28-day all-cause mortality.
The primary outcome measure was all-cause mortality at 28 days after randomization. There were 9 secondary outcomes including progression to invasive mechanical ventilation or death and risk of secondary infection by 28 days.
A total of 10 930 patients (median age, 61 years [range of medians, 52-68 years]; 3560 [33%] were women) participating in 27 trials were included. By 28 days, there were 1407 deaths among 6449 patients randomized to IL-6 antagonists and 1158 deaths among 4481 patients randomized to usual care or placebo (summary OR, 0.86 [95% CI, 0.79-0.95]; P = .003 based on a fixed-effects meta-analysis). This corresponds to an absolute mortality risk of 22% for IL-6 antagonists compared with an assumed mortality risk of 25% for usual care or placebo. The corresponding summary ORs were 0.83 (95% CI, 0.74-0.92; P < .001) for tocilizumab and 1.08 (95% CI, 0.86-1.36; P = .52) for sarilumab. The summary ORs for the association with mortality compared with usual care or placebo in those receiving corticosteroids were 0.77 (95% CI, 0.68-0.87) for tocilizumab and 0.92 (95% CI, 0.61-1.38) for sarilumab. The ORs for the association with progression to invasive mechanical ventilation or death, compared with usual care or placebo, were 0.77 (95% CI, 0.70-0.85) for all IL-6 antagonists, 0.74 (95% CI, 0.66-0.82) for tocilizumab, and 1.00 (95% CI, 0.74-1.34) for sarilumab. Secondary infections by 28 days occurred in 21.9% of patients treated with IL-6 antagonists vs 17.6% of patients treated with usual care or placebo (OR accounting for trial sample sizes, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.85-1.16).
In this prospective meta-analysis of clinical trials of patients hospitalized for COVID-19, administration of IL-6 antagonists, compared with usual care or placebo, was associated with lower 28-day all-cause mortality.
PROSPERO Identifier: CRD42021230155.
About The Expert
Manu Shankar-Hari
Claire L Vale
Peter J Godolphin
David Fisher
Julian P T Higgins
Francesca Spiga
Jelena Savovic
Jayne Tierney
Gabriel Baron
Julie S Benbenishty
Lindsay R Berry
Niklas Broman
Alexandre Biasi Cavalcanti
Roos Colman
Stefanie L De Buyser
Lennie P G Derde
Pere Domingo
Sharifah Faridah Omar
Ana Fernandez-Cruz
Thijs Feuth
Felipe Garcia
Rosario Garcia-Vicuna
Isidoro Gonzalez-Alvaro
Anthony C Gordon
Richard Haynes
Olivier Hermine
Peter W Horby
Nora K Horick
Kuldeep Kumar
Bart N Lambrecht
Martin J Landray
Lorna Leal
David J Lederer
Elizabeth Lorenzi
Xavier Mariette
Nicolas Merchante
Nor Arisah Misnan
Shalini V Mohan
Michael C Nivens
Jarmo Oksi
Jose A Perez-Molina
Reuven Pizov
Raphael Porcher
Simone Postma
Reena Rajasuriar
Athimalaipet V Ramanan
Philippe Ravaud
Pankti D Reid
Abraham Rutgers
Aranzazu Sancho-Lopez
Todd B Seto
Sumathi Sivapalasingam
Arvinder Singh Soin
Natalie Staplin
John H Stone
Garth W Strohbehn
Jonas Sunden-Cullberg
Julian Torre-Cisneros
Larry W Tsai
Hubert van Hoogstraten
Tom van Meerten
Viviane Cordeiro Veiga
Peter E Westerweel
Srinivas Murthy
Janet V Diaz
John C Marshall
Jonathan A C Sterne
References
PubMed